Chiefs vs. Giants player props, odds, Monday Night Football picks: Patrick Mahomes over 303.5 passing yards -

The Kansas City Chiefs have won the last two AFC Championships, but they're going to have to kick it into gear if they have any chance at a three-peat after a 3-4 start fueled by uncharacteristic turnovers and a leaky defense. The Chiefs will host the New York Giants on Monday Night Football and are laying 10.5 points in the latest NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook. But if you don't see value in either of those NFL lines or if you're looking for more action, there are plenty of Monday Night Football prop bets to play.

Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are one of the most devastating pass-catching tandems in history, and the latest NFL props list both with an over-under of 79.5 for total receiving yards. Is there value on either side of the line for those two superstars, and which other Monday Night Football player props should you jump on? Before making any Chiefs vs. Giants player props for Monday Night Football, you need to see the Giants vs. Chiefs prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,700 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 8 of the 2021 season on an incredible 126-85 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, the player over-under prop picks went 389-310, returning over $3,000.

With Giants vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs vs. Giants

After simulating Giants vs. Chiefs 10,000 times, the model predicts that Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes sails past 303.5 passing yards. Mahomes' turnover issues have been well-documented this season, but he's still a prolific passer that has thrown for 2,093 passing yards and 18 touchdowns through seven games.

Mahomes has thrown for at least 337 yards on three occasions this season and the Giants have already allowed Dak Prescott and Taylor Heinicke to surpass 304 passing yards this season. Mahomes has now thrown for at least 304 yards in 27 of his 53 career regular-season starts and the model is projecting he'll throw for 322 on average this week.

SportsLine's NFL model also says Giants quarterback Daniel Jones goes over 21.5 rushing yards. Jones has been surprising people with his athleticism throughout his first three seasons in the league and despite the fact that the secret is out, he's managed to surpass 21.5 rushing yards in five of his seven starts this year.

Jones has now surpassed that total for rushing in 17 of his 34 career starts and averaged 27.4 rushing yards per game throughout his career. Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen all put up at least 47 rushing yards against this Chiefs defense and the model likes Jones to go well over his listed total, projecting 34 rushing yards on average.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Giants vs. Chiefs

In addition, the model says another star easily surpasses his yardage total and has a plus-money prop payout you'll want to jump on. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Chiefs vs. Giants prop bets.

Which Chiefs vs. Giants prop bets should you back on Monday Night Football? And which star smashes his total? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Giants vs. Chiefs prop picks, all from the model that's up almost $7,700 on top-rated NFL picks.